Polymarket and Kalshi Face a Major Accuracy Test: The Midterms
Studies have shown that the betting sites can predict races correctly, but their ability to forecast U.S. midterm elections is an important proving ground.
What happened?
Studies have shown that the betting sites can predict races correctly, but their ability to forecast U.S. midterm elections is an important proving ground.
Story details
Studies have shown that the betting sites can predict races correctly, but their ability to forecast U.S.
midterm elections is an important proving ground.
Why it matters
This story helps build a stronger internal English tech archive around Business, giving search visitors more reasons to keep browsing the site instead of bouncing after a single headline.
Original source
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/30/technology/polymarket-kalshi-midterm-elections.html